A New Investigation and Closing Thoughts

With the total damages levied against the various memory manufacturers in the DRAM case, we would hope and expect that it would discourage any such future foul play - certainly that's much of the reason for the fines in the first place. However, hot on the heels of the DRAM investigation (and a more minor ongoing SRAM investigation) the Justice Department believes it has found new examples of anti-competitive behavior. Many of the players are the same but it's a different market: NAND flash memory.

NAND flash memory (not to be confused with the NOR type) has been a particularly hot industry over the last few years as the capacity for NAND has been growing at a faster rate than any other type of storage, allowing device manufacturers to use NAND on products that previously required other forms of mass storage. Cell phones, MP3 players, PDAs, and even SSD hard drives have made for rapid growth in the NAND flash memory market. Markets ripe for growth however can also be ripe for anti-competitive actions, which is why the Justice Department is taking a look.

Because this investigation is just beginning, the details are relatively sparse compared to what we know about the DRAM case. Many of the companies involved in the DRAM case also make NAND flash memory, and the Justice Department believes they may have been acting in anti-competitive ways similar to what occurred in the DRAM case. The Justice Department has now subpoenaed many of the manufacturers and purchasers of NAND flash memory in order to start building a case; so far everyone subpoenaed has cooperated with the investigation.

Prior to the start of their investigation, the price of NAND had been increasing the past couple of quarters (between 5% and 10% a quarter). Some business analysts and members of the Justice Department find this unusual enough to indicate that something may be amiss. Furthermore, in a separate case that started a month prior to the Justice Department's case, a group of NAND purchasers sued nearly two dozen companies involved in NAND production, accusing them of engaging in price-fixing. Finally, there is concern that the corruption uncovered in the DRAM cartel may have spread into other memory markets.

With that said, at this point it's far too early to make any serious accusations on what is being investigated. The Justice Department started a similar probe of SRAM in 2006 which so far has not turned up anything notable, so it's entirely possible that this is the Justice Department being overly paranoid and there is nothing to find. We have heard rational explanations that would account for the price increases without illegal practices such as price fixing. On the other hand, this is a market that from past experience is clearly vulnerable to collusion, so it's too soon to dismiss any claims about collusion or price fixing until more investigating is done and we have more facts. One thing is certain: if there is something foul going on, you can count on it taking most of the next decade before everything is sorted out.

Closing Thoughts

The fact that we are writing this article is in and of itself an indication of our disappointment with the memory market. Although it's not the end-users that will be seeing the restitution from the DRAM case, it was ultimately the end-users who paid the extra cost. In colluding to raise prices, the DRAM cartel has effectively ripped off virtually every one of us. Even though "justice" has been done, few of those who were truly wronged will be getting restitution for what has happened.

There's a fundamental belief in the market that if prices are high, there is a good reason for it. Perhaps something costs a lot to make, there's little supply, or someone along the way was smart enough to build a better product and command a premium for what they can offer. However, even in the cold hard world of capitalism there's a certain breach of trust when the participants in the market are colluding to rip the consumer off, and that has happened at least once.

This article is admittedly late. What's done is done and other than the class action suit the rest of the punishment has been served and most everyone has moved on. At the same time, the computing industry in spite of its size has a very small feeling much of the time; this is what drives things such as brand loyalty and fanboyism for companies and products. It's an unusual but functional relationship that keeps things going, but situations like this sour that relationship. The computing industry already has its villains; do we really need more of them?

At this point we're waiting for the result of the Justice Department's investigation into the possibility of similar price fixing for NAND flash memory; we hope these accusations aren't true, but it's far too early to know the truth. For this kind of problem to occur once, it's a disappointment but redemption is a possibility. For it to occur again may very well mean constant suspicion of bad behavior and overcharging will be the new modus operandi for the memory buyer. We would much rather have heroes to praise than villains to fear and avoid.

DRAM Price Fixing
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  • 1078feba - Thursday, October 25, 2007 - link

    Agreed.

    quote:

    And while this areas do in fact have issues from time to time, we would in fact miss the area that has issues the most and to the greatest extent. As it were to turn out, it would be the memory industry that is the greatest offender.


    I stopped reading after trying to muddle through this.
  • Jodiuh - Thursday, October 25, 2007 - link

    I was wondering why it took me so long to get through this one.
  • Foxy1 - Thursday, October 25, 2007 - link

    Per the "About" section of AT's website:

    "Responsible for maintaining the editorial calendar, Karen Clark is the last pair of eyes to see an article before it goes live. Karen uses her extensive experience in publishing to edit and prepare every article that appears on AnandTech."

    Perhaps she's on vacation this week?
  • nullpointerus - Thursday, October 25, 2007 - link

    She died some time ago. From what I have heard, the email account that she used to receive materials for proofreading was so large that the messages never started bouncing back. The writers just assumed that the articles were fine as-is. No one noticed that she was missing until her apartment building caught fire.

    j/k :)
  • JarredWalton - Saturday, October 27, 2007 - link

    I actually took her place over 18 months ago, but no one bothered to update the "About Us" page. You'll notice that Ryan, Gary, and me are not listed - but then I'm not sure how many people ever go visit that page anyway. Anyway, there was some stuff going on this past week (NVIDIA Editor's Day) that took me away from the computer for a while, so there was no proofing or editing done by yours truly. I don't usually do much with Ryan's articles anyway, but I have gone through to try and tighten up the text and clean up any grammar or spelling mistakes. Glad to know I was (apparently) missed. :)

    --Jarred
  • horatio777 - Thursday, October 25, 2007 - link

    The use of 'baited breath' in the last paragraph is a pet peeve of mine. Is his mouth full of cheese?

    For the origin of *bated* breath see:
    http://www.worldwidewords.org/qa/qa-bai1.htm">http://www.worldwidewords.org/qa/qa-bai1.htm
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